The proposed project is composed of five stages.
First, we will collect and merge disparate data sources of relevant aquaculture and fisheries policies, fisheries landings, and marine aquaculture production data from the 24 coastal marine states. We will obtain data from government websites and data repositories, literature (e.g., briefings), and our network of stakeholder NOAA-OAR-SG-2019-2005953 5 contacts and collaborators at state and national levels.
Second, we will apply a paired semiquantitative time-series method (i.e., statistical shock detection approach) to the synthesized aquaculture and fisheries production and policy data (Gephart et al., 2017) to reveal drivers of significant changes in aquaculture production over time.
Third, using descriptive and generalized modelling, we will also assess if states with higher or lower aquaculture production/diversity share similar policy and fisheries characteristics.
Fourth, in parallel with the multistate analyses, we will evaluate California and Florida as case studies to explore in more detail relationships and linkages of aquaculture and fisheries in the respective states to aid in the interpretation of the multistate results, as well as to uncover other barriers not captured from the larger scale analysis.
Finally, we will convene a workshop near the end of the second year to share the results of the research with state and federal stakeholders, identify real versus perceived policy barriers (informed by our research), and co-develop recommendations for proactive policies and initiatives that could better support aquaculture and fisheries through an integrative process. We will also develop dissemination products and communication tools based on the data and results for policy makers, managers, and the respective fisher and farmer communities.